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Key Choices: Time Frame and Analysis Tools
The difference time frames make First, longer time frames give you a chance to use all your tools to make accurate predictions. They also help filter out the noise on your charts — which we’re going to learn to read in the next module — and zero in on what’s really happening in your markets. Short time frames, on the other hand, can make analysis difficult because they’re subject to randomized price movements that don’t really help you identify trends and trade on them profitably. Second, lon
Apr 4
Decompression: A Break Down of the Recent Bitcoin Move
The bottom’s in? Bitcoin and the altcoin crypto markets rallied 18.59% after touching 3330, driving some to pronounce that the bottom is in. While it’s yet to be seen if this prevails as truth, there are some interesting dynamics of what happened during the run up and subsequent move. This is the last uptrend since the previous move that occurred on from the 17–25 of January. The most recent move is a classic cup and handle, where price creates a “U” shape, followed by a price increase. in thi
Apr 4
3 key steps to minimizing crypto trading risks
Lottery winners are more likely to apply for bankruptcy [https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/25/heres-why-lottery-winners-go-broke.html] than the rest of us. Holding on to your money, it turns out, is a lot tougher than getting it in the first place. This is why capital preservation is key to any profession that deals with money, from pro poker to crypto trading. The bad news is that some risk of losing money always exists. The good news is that by the time you finish this article, you’ll understand
Apr 4
Slippage, Volume, Liquidity: Part 1
Slippage, volume, and liquidity. You’ve probably heard these terms used before. And if you’re like many traders, you may have assumed the theory behind them is difficult or complicated. This isn’t the case. In this 2-part article series, we’ll show you that the three concepts can be explained in just minutes — which is important, because understanding slippage, volume and liquidity is key to successful trading. We’ll start with slippage. Slippage In trading, when we talk about price — say th
Apr 4
The beginner’s guide to effective backtesting
Backtesting is the process of applying your trading strategy to historical data. It lets traders simulate how they’d have done in the past without requiring any real-life capital. Good backtesting results often lead to good results in the present, which makes this an important tool in any crypto trader’s arsenal. In this article, we’ll explain how you can backtest any strategy using free tools. We’ll also explain the rationale behind backtesting, and give you some tips on making the most of pas
Apr 4
How you know you are out of the bear market
The whole of 2018 was a tough year for crypto currencies. Reeling from a boom run which took Bitcoin from $200 to $20000, the market entered into the bust phase and declined approximately 70% over the course of the year. But there is hope. We probably are out of one of the worst price declines for Bitcoin and moving closer towards the next bull run. How do I know? Well, I don’t but I can make a bold prediction to what is going to come. My first prediction for this article. The bear market is o
Apr 4
Statistics for crypto traders part 3: Correlation and Covariance
In the past blog posts, we covered averages, standard deviation, historical and implied volatility, and expected move. Next, we’ll look at, covariance and correlation. In Modern Portfolio Theory, an investor builds a collection of assets to take the least risk while maximizing their returns. In order to reduce risk, it’s necessary to diversify into other assets. The idea is that the perfect assets to diversify into are those which the price is unaffected if the other declines. For example, if
Apr 4
Statistics for Crypto Traders Part 2: Standard Deviation and Expected Move
When most traders talk about price, they usually do so in terms of direction. Bullish, bearish, their view on the markets is directional. For all their good intentions and thoughts, future market movements are impossible to predict and are assumed to follow the random walk hypothesis [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Random_walk_hypothesis]. What can be derived from markets though are beliefs on how far and how fast price will move in a certain period using Standard Deviation to calculate the expe
Apr 4
Statistics for Crypto Traders Part 1: Means and Moving Averages
If you’re like most people, you’re not a big fan of maths and statistics. Still, you probably realize that you can make more money trading if you understand basic statistics. If so, you’re in the right place; this article is about to explain some of the most important concepts and formulas in trading. Specifically, we’ll be covering: * Mean averages * Standard deviations * Expected moves * Covariance * Correlation * Range * Portfolio calculations We’ll start with the single most common
Apr 4
Multiplying Profits with Margin Trading
Let’s say you feel very confident about a potential trade. You are so optimistic about it that you want to open a position using more money than you actually have in your pocket at the moment. The easiest thing you can do is buy on margin (a.k.a. with leverage). This is a simple way to borrow the money you need to fund your trade. In this article, we’ll explain how this works and what happens when you win and lose trades like these. How does a typical leveraged trade work? Here’s a typical
Apr 4
The reward to risk ratio: Calculating and using R
In this post, we’re going to introduce a key risk management variable: R, the reward to risk ratio. Understanding it will help you trade profitably and effectively. Before we start, let’s recap a few key concepts: Your budget size is how much money you’ve got to invest with. The entry price is the price at which you buy into an asset. Risk size, measured in percentages, is how much money you’re willing to give up in each losing trade. Your position size is how much of an asset you’re buyi
Apr 4
Stop-Loss Orders: Types & Executions
A stop loss order is an order to buy or sell a coin once a certain market price is reached. They are used to control risk and limit losses. If you have a coin to sell, you can put a stop order to sell it if the price goes lower (i.e. worse). Conversely, if you are short selling and are betting the markets will move downward, you can set a stop order at a higher (also worse) price. Convenient, right? There are 2 main reasons to use a stop loss. The first is to control and minimize losses. The
Apr 4
Common Psychological Challenges when Trading
In crypto trading, two emotions can ruin the results of an otherwise outstanding trader. These are greed and fear. However, it’s not enough to know these two emotions. You also need to understand how they manifest themselves so you don’t fall victim to them. To help you do that, this article will go over some of the more common psychological challenges in crypto trading. FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) The first and perhaps biggest psychological mistake in crypto is FOMO: the Fear of Missing Out.
Apr 4
I am not your trading guru: Adara Manifesto
Crypto Trading Education is a wasteland of quick profits, scam ICOs and malfeasant get-rich-quick schemes. These scores of charlatans calling themselves “crypto influencers” have injected themselves into positions of authority beyond their abilities. The boom times always bring out those who would exploit profitable situations for their own benefit. Armed with charts and cheap opinions they profit on the losses of their followers. Ask yourself this question. Has your favorite influencer or exch
Apr 4
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